These signal that the current trend is pausing, not reversing. The market catches its breath, then resumes in the original direction.
These signal that the current trend is pausing, not reversing. The market catches its breath, then resumes in the original direction.
Rising three methods, falling three methods, tasuki gap, mat hold, and separating lines — the continuation pattern family showing the bounded counter-trend structure
| Pattern | Confirmation | Volume | Reliability | Common Failure Mode |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rising three methods / falling three methods | The fifth candle is the confirmation. It must close beyond the first candle's close in the trend direction. | Heaviest volume on the first and fifth candles; light volume on the three small middle candles. This volume signature is what distinguishes a true rising three methods from random consolidation. | Generally regarded as a respected continuation pattern when the volume signature is present. Without proper volume, less trustworthy. | The small middle candles drift outside the first candle's range, breaking the pattern's structural rule. |
| Upside tasuki gap / downside tasuki gap | The pattern is itself a continuation signal — confirmation is the next candle continuing in the original trend direction. Critically, the gap must remain unfilled. | Higher volume on the gap candle, lower volume on the third (counter-trend) candle is the constructive signature. | Modest as a standalone signal. Useful primarily as a check on whether a gap is being respected. | The gap fills within a few sessions, invalidating the continuation read. |
Rising three methods: PatternsWizard's research across 4,120 markets found the rising three methods and falling three methods pattern confirms 74.5% of the time on average. The Robust Trader's backtest framework covers this pattern alongside 75 others and reports it as a reliable tool for predicting short-term price movements. Falling three methods: Bulkowski's testing shows the falling three methods acts as a bearish continuation 71% of the time, with a reversal-rank of 7 (very high, where 1 is best). Frequency rank is 91 out of 103, meaning the pattern is rare. Overall performance ranks 89th, likely due to the small sample size of 64 instances found across 4.7 million candle lines studied. Teaching point: The 71% continuation rate and 74.5% confirmation rate from two different sources cluster well, but note the extreme rarity — students may go months without seeing the pattern. The combination of high reliability and low frequency makes this a wait-for-it pattern rather than a workhorse. Multi-source pool: thepatternsite.com, patternswizard.com, therobusttrader.com, quantifiedstrategies.com, academic Google Scholar searches.
Key Takeaways
In a rising three methods pattern, what happens if the third small bearish candle closes below the first long bullish candle's low?